Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.6%. Yes opened at 64% on 31 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 98.7% on 26 Nov 2025 and the low 44.5% on 9 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 91% on 25 Nov 2025. $170.45K traded over the market's life.
78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 28, 4:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 31 Oct 2025 – 27 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2025 | 64.0% |
| 27 Nov 2025 | 98.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MaCub | No | 1.8K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.1K |
| LLIyJIeP | No | 827.54 |
| Hopeful-Spork | No | 598.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Siversk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Siversk shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures any of the specified territory, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-siversk-by-october-31
| Mr.Chao | No | 472.59 |
| Kant | No | 429.98 |
| hklatvia | No | 339.27 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 332.3 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 277 |
| zkturing | No | 250 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
