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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.19 |
| $0.840 |
| $1 |
| Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.933 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.962 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
China coup attempt in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $100 in July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | May 21, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in April?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in April?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in April?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 21, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.888 | $0.1 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.946 | $0.1 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.948 | $0.15 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.361 | $1.81 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.870 | $0.15 | Oct 15, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.982 | $0.1 | Sep 27, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | sell | 85.45 | $0.982 | $83.91 | Sep 16, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | buy | 85.45 | $0.983 | $84 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?No | sell | 90.04 | $0.940 | $84.64 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 90.04 | $0.944 | $85 | Sep 16, 2024 |
UK civil war in 2024?No | sell | 86.64 | $0.971 | $84.13 | Sep 16, 2024 |
UK civil war in 2024?No | buy | 86.65 | $0.981 | $85 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | sell | 86.2 | $0.979 | $84.39 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | buy | 86.21 | $0.986 | $85 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?No | sell | 87.9 | $0.964 | $84.74 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?No | buy | 87.9 | $0.967 | $85 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?No | sell | 86.38 | $0.980 | $84.65 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?No | buy | 86.38 | $0.984 | $85 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 0.18 | $0.840 | $0.15 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 0.19 | $0.780 | $0.15 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?Yes | buy | 0.21 | $0.710 | $0.15 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?Kamala | buy | 0.22 | $0.670 | $0.15 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.890 | $0.15 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Kamala Harris blowout victory?No | buy | 0.19 | $0.800 | $0.15 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Eagles vs. FalconsEagles | buy | 0.21 | $0.720 | $0.15 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.770 | $0.2 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.890 | $0.1 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?Yes | buy | 0.43 | $0.230 | $0.1 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.730 | $0.1 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | buy | 0.45 | $0.220 | $0.1 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.840 | $0.1 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.780 | $0.1 | Sep 1, 2024 |