Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 29 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2024 to 4 Sep 2024, the highest close was 100% on 4 Sep 2024 and the lowest 12% on 30 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 68 points up, to 99.8% on 2 Sep 2024. $737.77K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 4:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 29 Aug 2024 – 4 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2024 | 13.5% |
| 4 Sep 2024 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Big-Hearted-Dessert | No | 20K |
| Chepakruche | No | 13.4K |
| Sascha332 | No | 3.99K |
| Matveyv | No | 3.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow or any target within the municipality between August 27 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ukraine-hits-moscow-by-sept-30
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