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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 86.85 | $0.288 | $14.33 | -$10.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 50m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.500 |
| $11.5 |
| +$1.5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 189.08 | $0.132 | $10.4 | -$14.6 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 585.01 | $0.038 | $10.24 | -$11.76 |
 Haiti elections delayed again? | No | 13.64 | $0.220 | $6.68 | +$3.68 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $4.3 | +$2.3 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 129.27 | $0.023 | $3.88 | +$0.88 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | Yes | 19.85 | $0.252 | $3.67 | -$1.33 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $3.67 | +$0.67 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 16.9 | $0.237 | $3.41 | -$0.59 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 16.33 | $0.245 | $3.35 | -$0.65 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17 | $0.118 | $3.19 | +$1.19 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? | Yes | 71.81 | $0.070 | $2.76 | -$2.24 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 15 | $0.200 | $2.17 | -$0.83 |
 Myspace relaunched in 2026? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.48 | $0.223 | $1.95 | -$1.05 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 9, 2026? | No | 21.11 | $0.095 | $1.69 | -$0.31 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Yes | 35.19 | $0.057 | $1.6 | -$0.4 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 11, 2026? | No | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September? | No | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
 Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will "The Uprising" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.110 | $1.27 | -$0.73 |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in September? | No | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? | No | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.100 |
| $1 |
| 53m ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 9, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 17h ago |
 Will Aleksei Sarana win Titled Tuesday on September 8?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win Titled Tuesday on September 8?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 11, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 9, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E7 S1?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Hans Niemann win Titled Tuesday on September 8?Yes | buy | 26.56 | $0.075 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win Titled Tuesday on September 8?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | 6d ago |
| Will "The Uprising" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.37 | $0.821 | $9.33 | 9d ago |
| Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in September?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Will Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his announcement?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Will JD Vance say "Working Class" or "Middle Class" during his remarks in Maine?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump say "Human Printer" this week?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | 20d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.19 | $0.057 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | 21d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.37 | $0.264 | $3 | 21d ago |
 Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?Yes | buy | 55.91 | $0.018 | $1 | 21d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will "Coyote vs Acme" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 22d ago |
| Will "Coyote vs Acme" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 26d ago |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Haiti elections delayed again?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | 29d ago |
| Myspace relaunched in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will anyone say "Grace" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E8 S3?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 417.38 | $0.024 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.132 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.26 | $0.034 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Queen" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E8 S3?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 40 and 50 minutes long?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 50 and 60 minutes long?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 30 and 40 minutes long?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |