Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 493.99 | $0.988 | $492.26 | +$4.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 14.58 | $0.835 | $12.17 | 30m ago |
 |
| No |
| 378.88 |
| $0.847 |
| $323.94 |
| +$3.04 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 168.41 | $0.837 | $138.94 | -$1.99 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 118.77 | $0.970 | $116.22 | +$1.01 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 106.33 | $0.949 | $105 | +$4.13 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 540.83 | $0.236 | $83.83 | -$43.97 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 293.16 | $0.209 | $61.56 | +$0.23 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 64.88 | $0.929 | $60.66 | +$0.37 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 103.85 | $0.381 | $56.6 | +$16.99 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 57.41 | $0.960 | $55.31 | +$0.23 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 1.57K | $0.899 | $54.12 | -$1.36K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 108.37 | $0.500 | $50.39 | -$3.79 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 80.37 | $0.464 | $44.61 | +$7.31 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 38.9 | $0.826 | $32.93 | +$0.79 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 34 | $0.700 | $22.95 | -$0.85 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 16.71 | $0.939 | $15.63 | -$0.06 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | No | 75.79 | $0.180 | $13.26 | -$0.38 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 14.58 | $0.835 | $12.15 | -$0.02 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 18.9 | $0.390 | $10.3 | +$2.93 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 27.82 | $0.330 | $9.88 | +$0.7 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 13.68 | $0.669 | $9.1 | -$0.06 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.730 | $8.95 | +$1.65 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 12.23 | $0.240 | $7.83 | +$4.89 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | No | 9.9 | $0.880 | $7.77 | -$0.94 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | Yes | 28.78 | $0.160 | $6.19 | +$1.58 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.430 |
| $2.15 |
| 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 32.7 | $0.410 | $13.41 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.380 | $4.29 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 9.15 | $0.380 | $3.48 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 41.23 | $0.380 | $15.67 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 33.15 | $0.440 | $14.59 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.98 | $0.560 | $4.47 | 7h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 34.54 | $0.974 | $33.64 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 2.65 | $0.770 | $2.04 | 10h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.770 | $9.39 | 10h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 10h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.23 | $0.240 | $1.74 | 10h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.700 | $4.06 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.700 | $4.06 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.700 | $4.06 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.700 | $4.06 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.700 | $4.06 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10.51 | $0.490 | $5.15 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 16.28 | $0.490 | $7.98 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 10.39 | $0.480 | $4.99 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 18h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.975 | $4.88 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 20h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 29.12 | $0.969 | $28.22 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.969 | $10.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 15.42 | $0.520 | $8.02 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 18.36 | $0.530 | $9.73 | 1d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.952 | $4.76 | 2d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 0.58 | $0.960 | $0.56 | 2d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.36 | $0.960 | $8.03 | 2d ago |