Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.28 |
| $0.990 |
| $3.25 |
| Jul 18, 2025 |
 Sam Altman arrested before July?No | sell | 3.47 | $0.991 | $3.44 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Sam Altman arrested before July?No | buy | 3.47 | $0.990 | $3.44 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will 'Minecraft' gross between 90m and 100m on opening weekend?No | buy | 4.64 | $0.992 | $4.6 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.990 | $1.44 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.997 | $1.46 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.988 | $3.57 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend Jimmy Carter's state funeral?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.985 | $1.19 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.996 | $1.27 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win another state by the largest margin?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.990 | $1.45 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Florida be the closest state?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.983 | $1.33 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Diddy?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.984 | $1.11 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Rachel Lord announced as next BlackRock CEO?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.997 | $1.04 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.989 | $1.02 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.001 | $1.8 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will RC Celta de Vigo win La Liga?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.998 | $1.18 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Missouri Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.987 | $1.03 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.002 | $3.6 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 8.78K | $0.001 | $8.78 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.952 | $1.25 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out by October 31?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.982 | $1.37 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 8.78K | $0.002 | $17.55 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.996 | $1.14 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 9.24K | $0.001 | $9.24 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 5.02K | $0.998 | $5.01K | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Netanyahu out by October 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.979 | $1.38 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will there be another debate?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.971 | $1.18 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Indiana US Senate Election?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.994 | $1.28 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.996 | $1.14 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times October 18-25?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.998 | $1.26 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.24K | $0.002 | $18.47 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 315.14 | $0.403 | $127 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Missouri Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.989 | $1.03 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 235.73 | $0.403 | $95 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 5.02K | $0.999 | $5.01K | Oct 19, 2024 |