Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?

politicsResolved

No, settled Jan 6, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$206.4K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 6, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 6 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 14% on 2 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Jan 2025 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 14% on 2 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 3.2% on 3 Jan 2025. $206.45K traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 6:15 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Jan 2025 – 6 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Jan 2025	14.0%
6 Jan 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
donald-duck	Yes	1.09K
TimeTraveler	Yes	1.05K
humangod	Yes	972.11
Heinz2000	Yes	375

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On January 1, 2025, a Cybertruck exploded outside of the Trump International Hotel in Las Vegas, Nevada. You can read more about that here: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/one-killed-after-tesla-cybertruck-catches-fire-and-explodes-outside-trumps-las-vegas-hotel This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in connection with this incident by 11:59 PM ET on January 5, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Actions such as questioning or detention without a formal arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.