Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8% on 9 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2024 to 29 Nov 2024, the highest close was 8% on 9 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.4 points down, to 1.6% on 10 Oct 2024. $8.21M traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 30, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 9 Oct 2024 – 29 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2024 | 8.0% |
| 29 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 89.06K |
| bradley | Yes | 46.87K |
| PeaceOnFriday | Yes | 5.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Florida has the smallest margin of victory between the first and second place candidates of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first place candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/closest-state-in-the-presidential-election
| Yes |
| 2.19K |
| Nickname99 | Yes | 1.32K |
| Ree123 | Yes | 1.25K |
| Edible-Dependency | Yes | 500 |
| ThomIsGone | Yes | 336.25 |
| ontheverge | Yes | 333.33 |
| RSfunbet | Yes | 187.5 |
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