Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.83K | $0.005 | $64.34 | Aug 22, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 9.88K |
| $0.010 |
| $98.82 |
| Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.009 | $5.4 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.23K | $0.009 | $20.06 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | sell | 402.77 | $0.850 | $342.35 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 402.78 | $0.590 | $237.64 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | sell | 475.28 | $0.500 | $237.64 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 475.29 | $0.533 | $253.11 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.005 | $250 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.006 | $300 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.46K | $0.120 | $295.38 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.46K | $0.130 | $320 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.009 | $44.96 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 511.85 | $0.010 | $5.12 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.4K | $0.010 | $54.08 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?No | sell | 10.22K | $0.003 | $30.65 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris blowout victory?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.001 | $1.16 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 11.17K | $0.003 | $33.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 25K | $0.002 | $50 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | sell | 110.45K | $0.001 | $110.45 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 10K | $0.006 | $60 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 3.2K | $0.012 | $38.43 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris blowout victory?Yes | sell | 5.91K | $0.050 | $295.52 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | sell | 29.31K | $0.002 | $58.92 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Yes | sell | 7.1K | $0.011 | $80.99 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris blowout victory?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.038 | $71.3 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 5.1K | $0.037 | $188.54 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 30K | $0.060 | $1.8K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.060 | $900 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Texas be the closest state?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.025 | $50.05 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Texas be the closest state?Yes | buy | 87.75 | $0.024 | $2.11 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris blowout victory?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.130 | $260 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Florida be the closest state?Yes | buy | 3.41K | $0.030 | $102.35 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Florida be the closest state?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.029 | $0.15 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 3.23K | $0.412 | $1.33K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Florida be the closest state?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.029 | $0.15 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Florida be the closest state?Yes | buy | 93.13 | $0.024 | $2.24 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.416 | $2.08K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 10K | $0.060 | $600 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 3K | $0.424 | $1.27K | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 151.82 | $0.417 | $63.31 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Texas be the closest state?Yes | buy | 666 | $0.022 | $14.65 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Texas be the closest state?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.021 | $1.07 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.060 | $150 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.130 | $1.3K | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.397 | $1.99K | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris blowout victory?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.110 | $990 | Nov 1, 2024 |