Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.963 | $385 | -$0.2 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.963 | $385.2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.890 |
| $179 |
| +$1 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 41.65 | $0.348 | $2.71 | -$11.77 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.890 |
| $178 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 212.47 | $0.079 | $16.79 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 640.47 | $0.883 | $565.54 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 15.47 | $0.115 | $1.78 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 13.77 | $0.991 | $13.65 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 15.11 | $0.900 | $13.6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.11 | $0.870 | $13.15 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.16 | $0.130 | $13.15 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.16 | $0.140 | $14.16 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 12.34 | $0.970 | $11.97 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | sell | 220.9 | $0.015 | $3.36 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.720 | $1.44 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | buy | 120.9 | $0.025 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 39.65 | $0.340 | $13.48 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 625 | $0.880 | $550 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.56K | $0.240 | $614.39 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.210 | $537.59 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 647.7 | $0.830 | $537.59 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 647.7 | $0.910 | $589.41 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 411.59 | $0.961 | $395.54 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | sell | 834 | $0.018 | $15.11 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 148.44 | $0.840 | $124.69 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 715 | $0.031 | $22.17 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?No | buy | 178.76 | $0.780 | $139.43 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.760 | $200 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?No | sell | 55.29 | $0.170 | $9.38 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 No Data Reported in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.5K | $0.001 | $4.5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?No | buy | 600 | $0.291 | $174.9 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 834 | $0.120 | $100.08 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 715 | $0.140 | $100.1 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in his first 100 days?No | buy | 102.53 | $0.975 | $100 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.977 | $1.57K | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | sell | 1.57K | $0.997 | $1.57K | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 1.57K | $0.976 | $1.53K | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Nov 27, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.632 | $1.05K | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.642 | $12.84 | Oct 22, 2024 |