Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 20 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2025 to 13 Mar 2025, the highest close was 44.5% on 20 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 0.1% on 9 Mar 2025. $4.88M traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 13, 10:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 20 Feb 2025 – 13 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2025 | 44.5% |
| 13 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50.58M |
| Tice-Nits | Yes | 625K |
| collectorr | Yes | 214.94K |
| C0FF33 | Yes | 200K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
According to the U.S. Government, as of February 28, 2021, Fort Knox held 147,341,858.38 Troy Ounces of Gold (see: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/gold-report/21-02.html) This market will resolve according to the amount of gold (millions of troy ounces) held in Fort Knox according to the next published audit/report by the U.S. Government. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If an audit is conducted, and it is reported that no gold is missing, with no reporting of the actual amount of gold by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to the "147.3418580m t oz" bracket. If the results of a new audit are not published between February 18, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Data Reported in 2025". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, including the Department of Government Efficiency.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-gold-is-there-in-fort-knox
| FrankA | Yes | 150K |
| mrtito | Yes | 100K |
| Hamzaaaaa | Yes | 46K |
| Seinss | Yes | 20K |
| hardinpham | Yes | 20K |
| chadjay | Yes | 7K |
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