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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.977 | $195.4 | May 22, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.978 |
| $195.6 |
| May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 559.13 | $0.951 | $531.99 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 559.14 | $0.930 | $520 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 655.63 | $0.996 | $653.01 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 656.28 | $0.995 | $653 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 656.28 | $0.996 | $653.65 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 656.94 | $0.995 | $653.66 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 656.94 | $0.996 | $654.31 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 657.6 | $0.995 | $654.31 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 657.6 | $0.996 | $654.97 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.003 | $7.5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 887.7 | $0.970 | $861.07 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 860.92 | $0.933 | $803.48 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 803.48 | $0.963 | $773.75 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 773.75 | $0.994 | $769.11 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 770.01 | $0.986 | $759.23 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.1 | $0.701 | $7.78 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 770.01 | $0.987 | $760 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 760.76 | $0.999 | $760 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.701 | $29.46 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 53.11 | $0.810 | $43 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Yes | buy | 211.21 | $0.947 | $200 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Makhachev | buy | 29.73 | $0.740 | $22 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.040 | $1.08 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 10.47 | $0.955 | $10 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 522.33 | $0.941 | $491.7 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 349.46 | $0.890 | $311 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 172.87 | $0.897 | $155 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 195.52 | $0.982 | $192 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 191.97 | $0.990 | $190 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 168.87 | $0.983 | $166 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.770 | $16.38 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$4000 | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15.67 | $0.638 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Bitcoin up on Nov 6?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.440 | $9.56 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Bitcoin up on Nov 6?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Oct 24, 2024 |