Analytics
Resolved $4000 on 6 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had $4000 at 90.6%. The $2000 side opened at 60% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 119 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2024 to 6 Dec 2024, the highest close was 85.5% on 7 Sep 2024 and the lowest 9.3% on 6 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 11.5% on 5 Dec 2024. $2.22M traded over the market's life.
434 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 5:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the $2000 price, Polymarket CLOB, 119 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 6 Dec 2024
| Observed | $2000 price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 60.0% |
| 6 Dec 2024 | 9.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| badman | $2000 | 4K |
| 8EF-dude | $2000 | 1.62K |
| RememberAmalek | $2000 | 1.34K |
This is a market on whether Ethereum ($ETH) will first reach $2000.00 USD or $4000.00 USD between August 07, 2024, 1 PM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "$2000" if $ETH drops to $2000.00 USD or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "$4000" if $ETH reaches $4000.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $ETH neither drops to $2000.00 or below nor reaches $4000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" and "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-eth-hit-2k-or-4k-first
| $2000 |
| 929.96 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | $2000 | 907.78 |
| LONGYUN | $2000 | 884.75 |
| Klowbyby | $2000 | 400 |
| swizzle1 | $2000 | 250 |
| SensualStarman | $2000 | 242.8 |
| TIME-GOD | $2000 | 232.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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