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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.82 | $0.954 | $0.8 | +$0.02 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.110 | $2.86 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| No |
| 0.74 |
| $0.475 |
| $0.64 |
| +$0.29 |
| buy |
| 73 |
| $0.520 |
| $37.96 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.023 | $0.76 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.860 | $34.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 38 | $0.966 | $36.71 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.967 | $36.75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.964 | $36.63 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.183 | $15.56 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 17.18 | $0.955 | $16.41 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 38 | $0.954 | $36.25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.984 | $37.39 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.550 | $24.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.965 | $35.71 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.962 | $35.59 | Jun 4, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.620 | $37.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.977 | $37.13 | May 31, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 47 | $0.478 | $22.48 | May 31, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.944 | $37.76 | May 31, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.961 | $37.48 | May 30, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 35.25 | $0.590 | $20.8 | May 29, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 15 | $0.420 | $6.3 | May 28, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 38 | $0.420 | $15.96 | May 28, 2026 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | sell | 27 | $0.028 | $0.76 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 9 | $0.938 | $8.44 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 7 | $0.938 | $6.57 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 7 | $0.938 | $6.57 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?No | sell | 9 | $0.893 | $8.04 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.018 | $0.54 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 9 | $0.925 | $8.33 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.023 | $0.28 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.952 | $9.52 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.949 | $9.49 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.065 | $0.33 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.065 | $0.98 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.066 | $2.24 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 9 | $0.959 | $8.63 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 6 | $0.865 | $5.19 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 11 | $0.865 | $9.52 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.041 | $0.41 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.939 | $6.57 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.041 | $1.89 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 10 | $0.863 | $8.63 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.035 | $0.7 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.035 | $1.19 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.982 | $8.84 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.046 | $1.47 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.981 | $8.83 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.046 | $0.23 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.905 | $9.05 | Jul 5, 2025 |