Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 7:58 AM UTC.
Analytics
rar111 has made $634.54 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 7:58 AM UTC.
$3.86 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October? | No | 151.12 | $0.820 | $146.51 | +$22.59 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.007 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 05:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
40 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 07:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 07:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 22:09 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.08K and losing ones cost $730.46 across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $165.09 on “Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $154.4 on “Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
It first traded on 15 Jan 2026 and most recently on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 315 markets. Its open positions are worth $473.11 across 40 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 100.35 |
| $0.921 |
| $99.85 |
| +$7.43 |
 Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? | No | 68 | $0.751 | $51.34 | +$0.26 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October? | Yes | 90 | $0.066 | $31.5 | +$25.6 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in October? | No | 20 | $0.710 | $19.45 | +$5.25 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% in October? | No | 20 | $0.870 | $18.5 | +$1.1 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October? | No | 10 | $0.950 | $9.55 | +$0.05 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October? | No | 10 | $0.700 | $9.2 | +$2.2 |
 Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 40.95 | $0.128 | $8.6 | +$3.38 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October? | No | 10 | $0.800 | $7.6 | -$0.4 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 10.01 | $0.225 | $7.06 | +$4.81 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 30 | $0.140 | $5.4 | +$1.2 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October? | No | 5 | $0.944 | $4.84 | +$0.12 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.82 | +$0.07 |
 Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? | Yes | 110 | $0.047 | $4.46 | -$0.72 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027? | Yes | 77.94 | $0.005 | $4.36 | +$3.96 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.690 | $3.68 | +$0.23 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in October? | Yes | 140 | $0.040 | $3.22 | -$2.38 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 30 | $0.170 | $3.15 | -$1.95 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.780 | $2.95 | -$4.85 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.110 | $2.8 | +$0.6 |
 Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.080 | $2.8 | -$0.4 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2027? | Yes | 76 | $0.005 | $2.58 | +$2.2 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 5.16K | $0.001 | $2.58 | -$2.58 |
 Senate control favorite on November 2? | Republican Party | 100 | $0.029 | $2.55 | -$0.34 |
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Yes| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.046 |
| $1.38 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.046 | $2.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.049 | $0.49 | 1d ago |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
 Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 2d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October?No | buy | 5 | $0.944 | $4.72 | 2d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 2d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.051 | $0.51 | 2d ago |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 689.17 | $0.070 | $48.24 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.002 | $0.21 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.070 | $13.3 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.69 | $0.070 | $1.31 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 479.41 | $0.070 | $33.56 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.070 | $0.08 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 310.81 | $0.080 | $24.86 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 310.81 | $0.070 | $21.76 | 2d ago |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?No | buy | 28 | $0.710 | $19.88 | 2d ago |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 2d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.921 | $92.1 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.002 | $0.21 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.090 | $81 | 2d ago |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Hike 25 bps | buy | 31 | $0.027 | $0.84 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.080 | $72 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 2d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Yes | buy | 0.35 | $0.897 | $0.31 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?No | sell | 8.86 | $0.950 | $8.42 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?No | sell | 50 | $0.967 | $48.35 | 3d ago |
| Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.032 | $0.16 | 3d ago |
| Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.032 | $0.16 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 235.54 | $0.001 | $0.24 | 3d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.060 | $1.8 | 3d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?Yes | buy | 126.66 | $0.884 | $111.96 | 3d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.83% in October?Yes | buy | 169.3 | $0.890 | $150.68 | 3d ago |
| Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?No | sell | 138.23 | $0.420 | $58.06 | 3d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.89% in October?Yes | buy | 59.76 | $0.970 | $57.97 | 3d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.89% in October?Yes | buy | 40.24 | $0.970 | $39.03 | 3d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?Yes | buy | 4.96 | $0.860 | $4.27 | 3d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 3d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% in October?No | sell | 69.99 | $0.711 | $49.79 | 3d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in October?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 3d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | 3d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.