
The Democratic Party side is at 97.8%, up 14 points from 84% when the market opened on 23 Sep 2026.
Across the 31 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 84% on 23 Sep 2026. A week before that last close the Democratic Party side was at 99%. Its largest one-day move was 6.6 points up, to 97.1% on 8 Oct 2026.
$17.31K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $25.52K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Democratic Party position is Trump2028 with 10.5K shares; the largest Republican Party position is NefariousX with 8.2K. Ten wallets hold 97.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 12:06 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Democratic Party price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Democratic Party price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 84.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 97.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Trump2028 | Democratic Party | 10.51K |
| NefariousX | Republican Party | 8.16K |
| Perypery | Republican Party | 2.13K |
This market will resolve to "Democratic Party" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Republican Party" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. If the Democratic Party's and the Republican Party's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party or the Republican Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes". If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50. If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Democratic Party | 1.53K |
| Dr.PNL | Republican Party | 433.61 |
| planktonXD | Republican Party | 387 |
| AJSV | Republican Party | 374.88 |
| Haradwaith | Republican Party | 315 |
| vyemfql | Republican Party | 232.45 |
| Antony82 | Democratic Party | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/senate-control-favorite-on-november-2
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