Analytics
rar111 has made $634.54 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October? | No | 151.12 | $0.820 | $146.66 | +$22.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 02:42 UTC
Polymarket public position response
40 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 06:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 06:22 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 22:09 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.08K and losing ones cost $730.46 across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $165.09 on “Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $154.4 on “Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
It has traded 315 markets. Its open positions are worth $474.06 across 40 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 100.35 |
| $0.921 |
| $99.85 |
| +$7.43 |
 Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? | No | 68 | $0.751 | $49.98 | -$1.1 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October? | Yes | 90 | $0.066 | $31.5 | +$25.6 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in October? | No | 20 | $0.710 | $19.66 | +$5.46 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% in October? | No | 20 | $0.870 | $16.8 | -$0.6 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October? | No | 10 | $0.950 | $9.55 | +$0.05 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October? | No | 10 | $0.700 | $9.2 | +$2.2 |
 Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 40.95 | $0.128 | $8.6 | +$3.38 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October? | No | 10 | $0.800 | $7.35 | -$0.65 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 10.01 | $0.225 | $7.08 | +$4.82 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027? | Yes | 77.94 | $0.005 | $6.74 | +$6.34 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 30 | $0.140 | $5.4 | +$1.2 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October? | No | 5 | $0.944 | $4.84 | +$0.12 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.81 | +$0.06 |
 Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? | Yes | 110 | $0.047 | $4.46 | -$0.72 |
 Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.080 | $4 | +$0.8 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.690 | $3.68 | +$0.23 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in October? | Yes | 140 | $0.040 | $3.22 | -$2.38 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 30 | $0.170 | $3.15 | -$1.95 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.780 | $3 | -$4.8 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.110 | $2.8 | +$0.6 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2027? | Yes | 76 | $0.005 | $2.58 | +$2.2 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 5.16K | $0.001 | $2.58 | -$2.58 |
 Senate control favorite on November 2? | Republican Party | 100 | $0.029 | $2.55 | -$0.34 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
