
Yes is at 0.9%, down 11 points from 11.5% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.5%.
$3.75K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $251.98, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 219 shares; the largest No position is QMG-CORE with 600. Ten wallets hold 80% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 11.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| QMG-CORE | No | 600 |
| xiaojiren | No | 327 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 218.91 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Hike 25 bps" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "No change" option's hourly odds value in the "Fed Rate Decision October 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and October 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as the "Hike 25 bps" option being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the "Hike 25 bps" option or the "No change" option in the "Fed Rate Decision October 2026" listing before October 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for both the "Hike 25 bps" option and the "No change" option between market creation and October 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Hike 25 bps" option is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the "Hike 25 bps" option and the "No change" option in the "Fed Rate Decision October 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/fed-october-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
| flywheelpoly |
| Yes |
| 199.99 |
| StarMaster | No | 140 |
| AboveLookUp | Yes | 135 |
| Wildanimal | No | 123.06 |
| rar111 | Yes | 100 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 90 |
| lissartter | Yes | 86.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page