Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 100 | $0.870 | $88 | +$1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.047 | $0.23 | 23m ago |
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| Yes |
| 70 |
| $0.931 |
| $66.92 |
| +$1.76 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.790 | $26.25 | +$2.55 |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.64% in September? | Yes | 25 | $0.900 | $23 | +$0.5 |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.70% in September? | Yes | 30 | $0.530 | $21.45 | +$5.55 |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September? | Yes | 25 | $0.050 | $6.38 | +$5.13 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.080 | $5.75 | -$2.25 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.009 | $4.5 | $0 |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.670 | $3.8 | +$0.45 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.080 | $2.5 | +$0.9 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August? | Yes | 28.37 | $0.130 | $2.41 | -$1.28 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? | Yes | 10 | $0.310 | $2.35 | -$0.75 |
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? | Yes | 25.13 | $0.070 | $1.92 | +$0.16 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 34.94 | $0.047 | $1.69 | +$0.06 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 63.21 | $0.131 | $1.49 | -$6.81 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | Yes | 19.35 | $0.370 | $1.45 | -$5.71 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | Yes | 10 | $0.520 | $1.15 | -$4.05 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August? | Yes | 61.17 | $0.022 | $1.07 | -$0.26 |
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | Yes | 10 | $0.130 | $0.05 | -$1.25 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.047 |
| $1.4 |
| 23m ago |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.64% in September?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | 52m ago |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.70% in September?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.530 | $15.9 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.933 | $18.66 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in September?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | 1h ago |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | 3h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | 19h ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 20h ago |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.82% in September?Yes | sell | 20.11 | $0.810 | $16.29 | 1d ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | 1d ago |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.82% in September?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | 1d ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | 1d ago |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?Yes | buy | 28.37 | $0.130 | $3.69 | 6d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 6d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | 7d ago |
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.086 | $1.72 | 7d ago |
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 38.4 | $0.087 | $3.34 | 8d ago |
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?No | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 19d ago |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | 19d ago |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 604.46 | $0.117 | $70.76 | 23d ago |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | 29d ago |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | buy | 11.44 | $0.131 | $1.5 | 29d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.012 | $1.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 634 | $0.120 | $76.08 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.78 | $0.326 | $6.77 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.212 | $292.82 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 580.65 | $0.155 | $90 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 413.79 | $0.145 | $60 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.181 | $250 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.52K | $0.023 | $150 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.32K | $0.028 | $149 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.031 | $3.11 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.361 | $10.83 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.071 | $7.1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.126 | $1.26 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.400 | $4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.53 | $0.467 | $9.59 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 702.1 | $0.999 | $701.4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 702.11 | $0.997 | $700 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?No | sell | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |