Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 627 | $0.630 | $573.71 | +$178.7 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Waymo IPO before 2027?No | sell | 662 | $0.770 | $509.74 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 93 |
| $0.740 |
| $89.37 |
| +$20.55 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.780 | $1.53 | -$0.81 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.710 | $0.93 | +$0.22 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 0.99 | $0.899 | $0.06 | -$0.83 |
| buy |
| 993 |
| $0.870 |
| $863.91 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
| Waymo IPO before 2027?No | buy | 662 | $0.880 | $582.56 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 146 | $0.100 | $14.6 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 457 | $0.100 | $45.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 603 | $0.100 | $60.3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?No | sell | 53 | $0.710 | $37.63 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No | sell | 24 | $0.690 | $16.56 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 803 | $0.810 | $650.43 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 627 | $0.630 | $395.01 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 803 | $0.810 | $650.43 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No | buy | 572 | $0.730 | $417.56 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.740 | $39.22 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 945 | $0.370 | $349.65 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?No | sell | 922 | $0.972 | $896.18 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | sell | 296 | $0.640 | $189.44 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No | sell | 456 | $0.910 | $414.96 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 296 | $0.650 | $192.4 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 945 | $0.350 | $330.75 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 459 | $0.750 | $344.25 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 552 | $0.740 | $408.48 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?No | buy | 280 | $0.120 | $33.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?No | buy | 922 | $0.230 | $212.06 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?No | sell | 556 | $0.791 | $439.8 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?No | sell | 599 | $0.832 | $498.37 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?No | sell | 10 | $0.833 | $8.33 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No | sell | 455 | $0.740 | $336.7 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.824 | $959.96 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?No | sell | 472 | $0.590 | $278.48 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 204 | $0.110 | $22.44 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 70 | $0.100 | $7 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.110 | $1.76 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 289 | $0.110 | $31.79 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | sell | 537 | $0.550 | $295.35 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | sell | 412 | $0.550 | $226.6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No | buy | 911 | $0.690 | $628.59 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 579 | $0.120 | $69.48 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | buy | 949 | $0.560 | $531.44 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?No | sell | 111 | $0.120 | $13.32 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?No | sell | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?No | sell | 459 | $0.720 | $330.48 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 174 | $0.780 | $135.72 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast get married by December 31?No | sell | 562 | $0.410 | $230.42 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 177 | $0.780 | $138.06 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?No | buy | 559 | $0.810 | $452.79 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast get married by December 31?No | buy | 562 | $0.470 | $264.14 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?No | buy | 472 | $0.590 | $278.48 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 45 | $0.780 | $35.1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 22)No | sell | 34 | $0.580 | $19.72 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 22)No | sell | 750 | $0.580 | $435 | Mar 19, 2026 |