
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 37% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 1 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 37.5% on 26 Mar 2026. $83.26K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 11:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 37.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.22K |
| bayc4303 | Yes | 794 |
| roboraptors | Yes | 564 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-richest-person-on-march-31
| Yes |
| 521 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Trader120 | Yes | 295.8 |
| chaoticclimb | Yes | 233.66 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| Smart-bettor7 | Yes | 175.82 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 162.01 |
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