Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.1%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 133 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 21 Jul 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.7% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 35% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 59% on 10 Mar 2026. $52.66K traded over the market's life.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 5:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 133 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 21 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 55.5% |
| 21 Jul 2026 | 93.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 3.13K |
| norealtime | No | 1K |
| labistiiia | No | 977.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Donaldson's (aka MrBeast) marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MrBeast, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-get-married-by-december-31
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 780.01 |
| Different-Slice | No | 759.99 |
| Mr.Frog🐸 | No | 561.24 |
| lineth | No | 558.4 |
| Anjun | No | 428.56 |
| Kidpoker007 | No | 299.65 |
| Majestic-Testimonial | No | 210.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
