Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | Yes | 100 | $0.500 | $38 | -$12 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes | buy | 20.69 | $0.290 | $6 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 164.63 |
| $0.401 |
| $31.28 |
| -$34.72 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 85.29 | $0.469 | $20.04 | -$19.96 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.18 | $0.550 | $16.45 | +$6.45 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 16.13 | $0.620 | $14.76 | +$4.76 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.450 | $11.67 | +$1.67 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 11.63 | $0.430 | $10.06 | +$5.06 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.58K | $0.021 | $9.02 | -$44.98 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 154.54 | $0.181 | $4.17 | -$23.83 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $2.85 | -$7.15 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 62.5 | $0.080 | $2.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | Yes | 98.04 | $0.051 | $2.26 | -$2.75 |
| Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? | Yes | 222.22 | $0.045 | $1.89 | -$8.11 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $0.35 | -$9.65 |
| buy |
| 43.94 |
| $0.455 |
| $20 |
| 7d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 134.54 | $0.350 | $47.09 | 16d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 167.78 | $0.900 | $151 | 22d ago |
 Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 268.27 | $0.261 | $70 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.090 | $31.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 578.06 | $0.017 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.994 | $49.7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 112.35 | $0.056 | $6.31 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.030 | $59.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.031 | $46.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | buy | 147.6 | $0.271 | $40 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.089 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.350 | $15.05 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 27.14 | $0.737 | $20 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Yes | sell | 18.12 | $0.650 | $11.78 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Yes | buy | 18.12 | $0.552 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.290 | $7.25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 120.47 | $0.141 | $17.01 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 120.47 | $0.208 | $25 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by July 22?No | sell | 58.6 | $0.237 | $13.88 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 75.75 | $0.300 | $22.72 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.140 | $23.33 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.330 | $25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 22?No | buy | 58.6 | $0.427 | $25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 20?No | buy | 50.71 | $0.690 | $35 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.870 | $72.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | sell | 85.98 | $0.800 | $68.78 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.840 | $70 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | buy | 85.99 | $0.814 | $70 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.58 | $0.118 | $8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | sell | 24.69 | $0.407 | $10.06 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.405 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 500.51 | $0.008 | $4 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.140 | $35 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 500.51 | $0.100 | $50 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 169.07 | $0.030 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 85.29 | $0.469 | $40 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 328.97 | $0.106 | $35 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 203.81 | $0.098 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | buy | 151.65 | $0.132 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |