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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.986 | $11.6 | Jan 6, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 249.88 |
| $0.920 |
| $229.89 |
| Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 47.34 | $0.006 | $0.28 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | sell | 70.85 | $0.070 | $4.96 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 578.45 | $0.012 | $6.94 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 36.34 | $0.450 | $16.35 | Oct 10, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | buy | 11.51 | $0.869 | $10 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 U.S. Recession in 2024?No | buy | 11.64 | $0.940 | $10.94 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.487 | $3.9 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?No | buy | 14.31 | $0.910 | $13.02 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.870 | $6.09 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.500 | $14.5 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 6.56 | $0.487 | $3.19 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?Yes | buy | 34.78 | $0.230 | $8 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" at his rally?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Debate" at his rally?No | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" at his rally?Yes | buy | 17.2 | $0.930 | $16 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Illegal Immigration" 3 or more times at his rally?Yes | buy | 6.78 | $0.590 | $4 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Tampon" at his rally?No | buy | 51.61 | $0.310 | $16 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.540 | $6.48 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Illegal Immigration" at his press conference?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.710 | $17.75 | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.775 | $155 | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?No | buy | 27.89 | $0.359 | $10 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Friday?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Trump + Elon conversation over 2 hours long?Yes | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Weird" during Elon interview?No | buy | 94.86 | $0.990 | $93.91 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Mars" during Elon interview?No | buy | 6 | $0.870 | $5.22 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?Yes | sell | 21.18 | $0.300 | $6.35 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Civil war" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 9.64 | $0.104 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?No | buy | 31.88 | $0.690 | $22 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?No | buy | 26.87 | $0.670 | $18 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?No | buy | 13.24 | $0.680 | $9 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.620 | $4 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Mars" during Elon interview?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Trans" during Elon interview?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.220 | $1.98 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" during Elon interview?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.457 | $3 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 67.42 | $0.890 | $60 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" during Elon interview?No | buy | 10.81 | $0.370 | $4 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Civil war" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 Will the USA win gold in the Men’s 4x400m Relay?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 31.19 | $0.590 | $18.4 | Aug 9, 2024 |