Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:05 PM UTC.
Analytics
chubby is down $455.73 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-07-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:05 PM UTC.
$91.04 median trade
Its latest 20 trades covered 15 markets; 85.0% were buys. They run from Sep 16, 2024 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 850 | $0.340 | $310.25 | +$21.25 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 850 | $0.340 | $289 | 2d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-07-14 17:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 18:05 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
20 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 18:05 UTC
polymarket positions
11 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-07-14 17:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $338.74 and losing ones cost $293.61 across 10 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $99 on “Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?” ($4000); the largest loss, $100 on “Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 15 markets. Its open positions are worth $310.25 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 226.61 |
| $0.330 |
| $74.78 |
| Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 260.88 | $0.330 | $86.09 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 998.83 | $0.140 | $139.84 | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.140 | $0.16 | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
 Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No | buy | 4.77K | $0.021 | $100 | Sep 23, 2025 UTC |
 Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 691.05 | $0.145 | $100 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 55.87 | $0.179 | $10 | Feb 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 281.94 | $0.035 | $10 | Feb 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 66.89 | $0.170 | $11.37 | Feb 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 66.9 | $0.224 | $15 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.680 | $200 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$4000 | sell | 172.87 | $0.650 | $112.37 | Nov 9, 2024 UTC |
| Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$4000 | sell | 127.13 | $0.650 | $82.63 | Nov 9, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 194 | $0.540 | $104.76 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
| Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$4000 | buy | 300 | $0.320 | $96 | Sep 19, 2024 UTC |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 228.43 | $0.306 | $70 | Sep 16, 2024 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 217.35 | $0.460 | $99.98 | Sep 16, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.