Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 34% on 12 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 107 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2025 to 26 Sep 2025, the highest close was 100% on 26 Sep 2025 and the lowest 19.5% on 17 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 70.5% on 27 Jun 2025. $288.47K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 27, 4:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 12 Jun 2025 – 26 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2025 | 34.0% |
| 26 Sep 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kickstandhater | No | 7.84K |
| chubby | No | 4.77K |
| hlv | No | 4.34K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Plasma's token is greater than $4,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Plasma doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/plasma-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 2.32K |
| leviet1998 | No | 1.49K |
| Borys1878 | No | 1.16K |
| Growing-Intentionality | No | 1.07K |
| 0xGabru | No | 1.04K |
| LIMEY | No | 1K |
| JimmyJamJam | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
