Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? | Yes | 38 | $0.270 | $2.47 | -$7.79 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | 10d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.480 |
| $2.28 |
| -$0.13 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.420 | $1.8 | -$6.6 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $0.67 | -$4.33 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.480 |
| $2.4 |
| 10d ago |
 Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.056 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.018 | $2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.055 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.064 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 11.89 | $0.841 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will India join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.820 | $20.5 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.952 | $21.63 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran in 2025?No | sell | 13.11 | $0.969 | $12.7 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.066 | $4.16 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.065 | $6.5 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.4 | $0.064 | $2.71 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.270 | $10.26 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.965 | $6.43 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?No | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.270 | $5.87 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran in 2025?No | buy | 13.12 | $0.762 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jun 20, 2025 |