Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 23 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 23 Jun 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 12.5% on 23 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.6 points down, to 2.9% on 24 Jun 2025. $330.17K traded over the market's life.
115 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 23 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2025 | 12.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bossbaby21 | Yes | 6.35K |
| Kjkgdr3jhg | Yes | 5.93K |
| Irys-721 | Yes | 5.7K |
| arabslayer | Yes | 5.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. military carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between June 21, 8:00 PM ET and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. U.S. air, missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. U.S. assistance of Israel or another country carrying out a strike, either through military aid, in-air refueling, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military strike will not alone qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-us-strike-fordow-nuclear-facility-before-july
| pablobcn | Yes | 2.46K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 2K |
| vaso28 | Yes | 1.13K |
| jj712 | Yes | 1K |
| Bakers | Yes | 909.09 |
| OriginCivil | Yes | 897.95 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
