Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.42 | +$0.42 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend AND UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | buy | 11.92 | $0.660 | $7.87 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No |
| sell |
| 131.06 |
| $0.912 |
| $119.53 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 800 | $0.740 | $592 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 600 | $0.915 | $549 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.801 | $1.76K | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.861 | $1.55K | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.934 | $8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.917 | $11 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 30?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 30?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on April 30?No | buy | 9.23 | $0.975 | $9 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 30?No | buy | 12.07 | $0.994 | $12 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 12.25 | $0.998 | $12.22 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.972 | $6 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.997 | $11 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.965 | $4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 11.41 | $0.964 | $11 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.981 | $6 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 11.08 | $0.993 | $11 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.969 | $17 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 12.26 | $0.979 | $12 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?Yes | buy | 13.1 | $0.992 | $13 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Bilibili Gaming | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will there be one or two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.930 | $3.96 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug in 2025?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.970 | $7 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.830 | $4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% in 2025?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.965 | $7 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?No | buy | 12.63 | $0.950 | $12 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.964 | $8 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 14.94 | $0.950 | $14.19 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.950 | $8 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 8.54 | $0.820 | $7 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 9.57 | $0.981 | $9.39 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?No | sell | 22.98 | $0.856 | $19.68 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis be decided any other way?No | buy | 35.32 | $0.980 | $34.61 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?No | buy | 20.12 | $0.994 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 23.51 | $0.995 | $23.39 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.960 | $12 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?No | buy | 21.04 | $0.998 | $21 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?No | buy | 14.89 | $0.940 | $14 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Megaquake by September 30?No | buy | 8.32 | $0.962 | $8 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?No | buy | 9.24 | $0.974 | $9 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Aug 30, 2025 |