Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 77.44 | $0.860 | $66.6 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 10.57 |
| $0.946 |
| $10 |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.21 | $0.710 | $25 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 19.62 | $0.510 | $10 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.7 | $0.935 | $10 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Super Bowl LIX WinnerChiefs | buy | 212.44 | $0.520 | $110.47 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.030 | $0.36 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Election certified on January 6?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.940 | $11.05 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?No | sell | 57.28 | $0.992 | $56.82 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 372.01 | $0.998 | $371.27 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 541.27 | $0.998 | $540.19 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 589.12 | $0.986 | $580.87 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.550 | $19.64 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.953 | $10.24 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 296.69 | $0.219 | $65.09 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the AP call the election on November 6?Yes | sell | 142.7 | $0.600 | $85.62 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 255.74 | $0.610 | $156 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.200 | $3.17 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.974 | $10.25 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | sell | 10.55 | $0.970 | $10.23 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?Yes | sell | 10.42 | $0.974 | $10.15 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?Wisconsin | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 109.68 | $0.912 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.450 | $200 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?No | buy | 57.28 | $0.873 | $50 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will the AP call the election on November 6?Yes | buy | 142.7 | $0.701 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | Nov 6, 2024 |