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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.93K | $0.107 | $543.46 | -$307.84 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 21h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 692.7 |
| $0.374 |
| $242.45 |
| -$16.78 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | Yes | 40 | $0.620 | $24.2 | -$0.6 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 25 | $0.820 | $21.13 | +$0.63 |
 Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? | Yes | 20 | $0.930 | $18.87 | +$0.27 |
| Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? | Yes | 20 | $0.860 | $18.2 | +$1 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.218 | $16.5 | -$49 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August? | Yes | 24.98 | $0.356 | $13.64 | +$4.75 |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? | No | 15 | $0.760 | $13.43 | +$2.03 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 120 | $0.101 | $13.02 | +$0.9 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.657 | $12.87 | -$0.27 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 15 | $0.830 | $12.53 | +$0.08 |
 Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.830 | $12.3 | -$0.15 |
 Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.760 | $11.39 | -$3.8 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.92 | $0.480 | $11.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | No | 70 | $0.330 | $10.85 | -$12.25 |
| Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.080 | $10 | +$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 80 | $0.133 | $10 | -$0.6 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.720 | $8.75 | +$1.55 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 10 | $0.590 | $6.49 | +$0.59 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 17.24 | $0.290 | $6.12 | +$1.12 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | Yes | 170 | $0.110 | $6.04 | -$12.67 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.310 | $6 | -$0.2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | No | 20 | $0.290 | $5.5 | -$0.3 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.590 | $4.9 | -$6.9 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.490 |
| $4.9 |
| 21h ago |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 108.79 | $0.039 | $4.24 | 21h ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | 21h ago |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 22h ago |
| Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | 2d ago |
 Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-09-06?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 3d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | 3d ago |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsSpirit | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsSpirit | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 4d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | 4d ago |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 4d ago |
 Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | 4d ago |
 Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.082 | $1.64 | 4d ago |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-04?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | 4d ago |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 4d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 4d ago |
 US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Karen KhachanovFelix Auger-Aliassime | buy | 24 | $0.770 | $18.48 | 5d ago |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | buy | 15 | $0.830 | $12.45 | 5d ago |
| US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | 6d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.657 | $13.14 | 6d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.820 | $20.5 | 6d ago |
 US Open WTA: Katie Boulter vs Karolina MuchovaKarolina Muchova | buy | 15.29 | $0.850 | $13 | 6d ago |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian MannarinoAlexander Bublik | buy | 15.58 | $0.770 | $12 | 6d ago |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.199 | $19.9 | 6d ago |
 Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.92 | $0.480 | $11 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Yes | sell | 59.99 | $0.120 | $7.2 | 7d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.115 | $6.9 | 8d ago |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Tomas BarriosAlexander Blockx | buy | 15 | $0.830 | $12.45 | 8d ago |
| US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz | buy | 15 | $0.820 | $12.3 | 8d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?No | sell | 50 | $0.992 | $49.6 | 9d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 480 | $0.006 | $2.88 | 10d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.133 | $2.66 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 910 | $0.007 | $6.37 | 11d ago |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 590 | $0.004 | $2.36 | 11d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.898 | $17.96 | 11d ago |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Carson Branstine vs Robin MontgomeryRobin Montgomery | buy | 15 | $0.760 | $11.4 | 12d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.580 | $63.8 | 12d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.311 | $9.32 | 13d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | sell | 10 | $0.979 | $9.79 | 13d ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.080 | $6.4 | 13d ago |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | 14d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in August?No | buy | 28 | $0.843 | $23.6 | 15d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | sell | 15 | $0.662 | $9.93 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | sell | 10 | $0.811 | $8.11 | 16d ago |