Analytics
The Aaron Pico side is at 52.5%, up 2.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
The high was 52.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the low 44.5% on 14 Oct 2026. A week ago the Aaron Pico side was at 46%.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)”.
$639.91 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.94K since listing. The order book holds $26.47K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 90 trades, $1.61K bought Aaron Pico and $672.25 bought Losene Keita.
The largest Aaron Pico position is beautyistruth with 2.5K shares; the largest Losene Keita position is VeryLucky888 with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 90.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 8:51 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Aaron Pico price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Aaron Pico price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| beautyistruth | Aaron Pico | 2.46K |
| VeryLucky888 | Losene Keita | 1.56K |
| G.Hchen | Losene Keita | 400 |
This market will resolve to "Aaron Pico" if Aaron Pico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Losene Keita at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Losene Keita" if Losene Keita is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-aar8-los-2026-10-24
7 more markets, none above 36.5%.
| omnibus-076daa | Losene Keita | 383.25 |
| WYNNERBACC | Aaron Pico | 378.56 |
| Pokermonster18 | Losene Keita | 306.12 |
| Kuntro2 | Losene Keita | 209.42 |
| amnesyac | Aaron Pico | 98.04 |
| tanpun123 | Aaron Pico | 76.92 |
| Yoelmma | Aaron Pico | 66.09 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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