Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54%. Yes opened at 50% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 11 Oct 2026. $1.45K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 7:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mispriced47 | No | 820.88 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Aaron Pico and Losene Keita at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-aar8-los-2026-10-24
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