Analytics
Yes is at 23.5%, up 8.5 points from 15% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 21 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 35% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 22.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 32.5% on 13 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “What price will Ethereum hit in October?”.
$34.04K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $225.15K since listing. The order book holds $49.53K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $16.75K bought Yes and $33K bought No; the largest was a $7.45K buy of No at 82.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 42.6K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 28.5K. Ten wallets hold 78.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 42.58K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 28.5K |
| getbipped | No | 19.91K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-2026
7 more markets, none above 0.1%.
| hqb.prediction | Yes | 6.18K |
| paula0xa | Yes | 4.59K |
| elPolloLoco | No | 3.94K |
| grasstoucher69 | Yes | 3.6K |
| daveeemor | Yes | 3.6K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | No | 3.49K |
| -Yang- | No | 2.56K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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