Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 73 points from 79% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 82.5% on 5 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 19%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 45.5% on 8 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “What price will Ethereum hit in October?”.
$2.03K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $206.49K since listing. The order book holds $84.89K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $13.04K bought Yes and $63.5K bought No; the largest was a $8.91K buy of No at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is moh.ak with 46.8K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 26.3K. Ten wallets hold 85.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 9 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 79.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| moh.ak | Yes | 46.83K |
| En11006 | Yes | 43.06K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 26.26K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-2026
7 more markets, none above 1.6%.
| Ivory Ledger 46F5 |
| No |
| 26.01K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 21.77K |
| Tokor | No | 13.05K |
| erevan | Yes | 10K |
| pilimili | Yes | 9.97K |
| remo888 | No | 9.9K |
| getbipped | No | 7.59K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
