Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, down 1.5 points from 4% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8.1% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 22 Oct 2026. The current quote, 2.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 2.6% on 22 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.1%.
It is one of 18 markets under “What price will Ethereum hit in October?”.
$1.43K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $112.2K since listing. The order book holds $88.82K, with a 0.10% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 153 trades, $3.16K bought Yes and $17.46K bought No; the largest was a $2.62K buy of No at 89.1¢.
The largest Yes position is hqb.prediction with 14.2K shares; the largest No position is lovedudley with 9.5K. Ten wallets hold 84.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 10 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 4:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–12%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hqb.prediction | Yes | 14.21K |
| lovedudley | No | 9.45K |
| Tokor | Yes | 7.84K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-2026
6 more markets, none above 1.0%.
| elPolloLoco |
| No |
| 5.21K |
| liceOfNice | Yes | 3.8K |
| getbipped | No | 3K |
| nearping | No | 2.5K |
| sunnyshine050490 | No | 1.96K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 1.54K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 1.54K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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