Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.38 | $0.900 | $1.22 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.900 | $1.24 | 3d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 1.1 |
| $0.940 |
| $1.03 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.920 | $1.02 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?No | sell | 1.98 | $0.080 | $0.16 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.680 | $1.35 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.920 | $2.81 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.950 | $2.9 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.898 | $1.42 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.979 | $1.55 | May 10, 2026 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | sell | 3.27 | $0.935 | $3.06 | May 10, 2026 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | buy | 3.27 | $0.960 | $3.14 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.991 | $3.11 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | sell | 3.13 | $0.995 | $3.11 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.995 | $3.12 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.996 | $3.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.996 | $3.11 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.980 | $3.06 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 26 be between 2,250,000 and 2,500,000?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.998 | $3.05 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Snapchat acquired in 2025?No | sell | 3.07 | $0.995 | $3.05 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?No | buy | 3.54 | $0.971 | $3.44 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.980 | $3.37 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 19?No | buy | 3.36 | $0.990 | $3.33 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.7 | $0.710 | $3.34 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Snapchat acquired in 2025?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.977 | $3 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 10?No | buy | 7 | $0.980 | $6.86 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 6.86 | $0.993 | $6.81 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on October 25?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.998 | $6.79 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $2.00 on October 18?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.995 | $1.68 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.969 | $2.48 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 New Epstein names released by Friday?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.960 | $2.38 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.999 | $2.38 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | buy | 4.85 | $0.997 | $4.84 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 3.43 | $0.964 | $3.31 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.999 | $1.94 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.965 | $2.65 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.999 | $2.99 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Tether Insolvent in 2024?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.994 | $2.05 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.980 | $1.86 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 21.96K | $0.001 | $21.96 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?Yes | buy | 42.02K | $0.001 | $42.02 | Dec 16, 2024 |