Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 351 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 50% on 17 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 7.8% on 18 Jan 2024. $1.46M traded over the market's life.
583 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 7:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 351 points, 17 Jan 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PlayableCharacter | Yes | 21.18K |
| Reth | Yes | 20.47K |
| Nfi | Yes | 15K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by Tether Limited Inc., official representatives of Tether Limited Inc. (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET that Tether Limited Inc. is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tether-insolvent-in-2024
| abce | No | 14.57K |
| Whopping-Verb | Yes | 10K |
| Fredsnow | Yes | 7.09K |
| vaeothwi | Yes | 6.88K |
| fastlane-trading | No | 4.04K |
| Bullor | Yes | 3.21K |
| blue-rock-cap | No | 1.8K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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