Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 22% on 13 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 324 daily closes on record from 13 Feb 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 5 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 24.5% on 10 Oct 2024. $162.17K traded over the market's life.
99 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 1:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 324 points, 13 Feb 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2024 | 22.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tmichem | Yes | 3.62K |
| Lalaf | Yes | 3.21K |
| Kamala.Harris | Yes | 2.5K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if pop star Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between February 11 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Taylor Swift's verified social media accounts (https://twitter.com/taylorswift13, https://www.instagram.com/taylorswift/, etc.), video footage of an announcement, a press release, an announcement through Taylor Swift's legal representative, however other credible reporting may be used. This market will resolve “Yes” solely based on an announcement of pregnancy by Taylor Swift. Any announcement originating from another person will not result in a “Yes” resolution. If it is later revealed Taylor Swift was never pregnant after she announced she was pregnant, it will have no impact on the resolution of this market; only the announcement of pregnancy is necessary for a “Yes” resolution for this question.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-pregnant-in-2024
| Tremendous-Saving | Yes | 1.51K |
| Timmydacat | Yes | 1K |
| abwn | Yes | 999.99 |
| Loading. | Yes | 512.03 |
| k-cool | Yes | 474.15 |
| Nmglucas | Yes | 340.76 |
| nothanks123 | Yes | 217.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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