Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 7:36 PM UTC.
Analytics
turpae has made $496 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 7:36 PM UTC.
$0.43 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 13 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | Yes | 310.15 | $0.022 | $6.82 | -$0.17 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.55 | $0.004 | $0.02 | 13m ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 18:56 UTC
Polymarket public position response
42 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 19:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 19:36 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 18:56 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $752.89 and losing ones cost $332.44 across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $102 on “Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?” (No); the largest loss, $119.13 on “Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 162 markets. Its open positions are worth $62.33 across 42 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 170.23 |
| $0.041 |
| $6.55 |
| -$0.45 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 161.01 | $0.042 | $5.55 | -$1.28 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 611.84 | $0.006 | $4.59 | +$0.55 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 493.49 | $0.010 | $3.95 | -$1.05 |
 US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | Yes | 103.75 | $0.042 | $3.58 | -$0.81 |
 Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 157.51 | $0.024 | $3.39 | -$0.36 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | No | 108.59 | $0.021 | $3.26 | +$0.98 |
 Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 675.51 | $0.005 | $2.7 | -$0.59 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 109.58 | $0.019 | $2.03 | -$0.06 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | Yes | 238.46 | $0.008 | $2.03 | +$0.12 |
 Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.040 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | No | 50.04 | $0.005 | $1.8 | +$1.55 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 656.18 | $0.003 | $1.64 | -$0.33 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026? | Yes | 195.01 | $0.004 | $1.56 | +$0.76 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026? | Yes | 222.23 | $0.009 | $1.56 | -$0.44 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 176.3 | $0.011 | $1.5 | -$0.4 |
 Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 23 | $0.044 | $0.84 | -$0.17 |
 Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 40.1 | $0.010 | $0.78 | +$0.38 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 19.67 | $0.035 | $0.7 | -$0 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro? | No | 19.04 | $0.021 | $0.68 | +$0.28 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 218.36 | $0.005 | $0.55 | -$0.48 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 97.76 | $0.007 | $0.54 | -$0.16 |
 Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31? | Yes | 8.02 | $0.050 | $0.51 | +$0.11 |
 Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 17.39 | $0.023 | $0.41 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 38 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.15 |
| 23m ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 147.01 | $0.004 | $0.59 | 23m ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 363.63 | $0.015 | $5.45 | 40m ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 170.75 | $0.011 | $1.88 | 42m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.004 | $0.04 | 45m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.004 | $0.08 | 45m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.99 | $0.004 | $0.14 | 47m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.004 | $0.11 | 47m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.79 | $0.004 | $0.1 | 47m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.004 | $0.16 | 47m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 77.66 | $0.004 | $0.31 | 47m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.004 | $0.04 | 47m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.004 | $0.12 | 47m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.004 | $0.12 | 47m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.03 | $0.004 | $0.08 | 47m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.004 | $0.12 | 47m ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.004 | $0.07 | 53m ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 363.63 | $0.011 | $4 | 1h ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | buy | 50.54 | $0.022 | $1.11 | 1h ago |
 France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.007 | $0.06 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.008 | $0.01 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 12.55 | $0.009 | $0.11 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 88.56 | $0.009 | $0.8 | 1h ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.013 | $4.33 | 1h ago |
| Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.028 | $0.14 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 131.44 | $0.009 | $1.18 | 1h ago |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Yes | buy | 136.07 | $0.022 | $2.99 | 1h ago |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Yes | buy | 171.51 | $0.023 | $3.94 | 1h ago |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | sell | 133.42 | $0.012 | $1.6 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | buy | 102.2 | $0.008 | $0.82 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | buy | 22.8 | $0.008 | $0.18 | 1h ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.28 | $0.007 | $1.5 | 1h ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.011 | $1.5 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | buy | 87.97 | $0.008 | $0.7 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | buy | 37.03 | $0.008 | $0.3 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | buy | 101.15 | $0.008 | $0.81 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | buy | 118.85 | $0.008 | $0.95 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 65.29 | $0.009 | $0.59 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 66.89 | $0.009 | $0.6 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 73.11 | $0.009 | $0.66 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 37.66 | $0.009 | $0.34 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | buy | 65.29 | $0.008 | $0.52 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 112.34 | $0.009 | $1.01 | 1h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | 2h ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.012 | $4 | 2h ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.034 | $0.1 | 2h ago |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 540.74 | $0.005 | $2.7 | 2h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | 2h ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.