Analytics
turpae has made $499.25 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | Yes | 170.23 | $0.041 | $6.55 | -$0.45 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 20:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
45 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 21:24 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-22 21:24 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 20:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $755.65 and losing ones cost $332.44 across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $102 on “Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?” (No); the largest loss, $119.13 on “Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?” (No).
It has traded 162 markets. Its open positions are worth $60.92 across 45 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 295.35 |
| $0.022 |
| $6.5 |
| -$0.16 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 611.84 | $0.006 | $5.2 | +$1.16 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 161.01 | $0.042 | $5.07 | -$1.76 |
 Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1K | $0.004 | $5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 493.49 | $0.010 | $3.95 | -$1.05 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | No | 108.59 | $0.021 | $3.26 | +$0.98 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 125.02 | $0.024 | $2.81 | -$0.18 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 109.58 | $0.019 | $2.03 | -$0.06 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | Yes | 238.46 | $0.008 | $2.03 | +$0.12 |
 Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | $0 |
 Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | No | 50.04 | $0.005 | $1.8 | +$1.55 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 656.18 | $0.003 | $1.64 | -$0.33 |
 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026? | Yes | 222.23 | $0.009 | $1.56 | -$0.44 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 170.75 | $0.011 | $1.37 | -$0.47 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026? | Yes | 107.42 | $0.004 | $0.86 | +$0.42 |
 Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 23 | $0.044 | $0.84 | -$0.17 |
 US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | Yes | 19.72 | $0.042 | $0.83 | -$0.01 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 104.07 | $0.005 | $0.78 | +$0.26 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 113.33 | $0.005 | $0.62 | +$0.02 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro? | No | 19.04 | $0.021 | $0.61 | +$0.21 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 218.36 | $0.005 | $0.55 | -$0.48 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 97.76 | $0.007 | $0.54 | -$0.16 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 19.67 | $0.035 | $0.53 | -$0.17 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026? | Yes | 102.59 | $0.003 | $0.51 | +$0.21 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
