Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 4:34 PM UTC.
Analytics
turpae has made $496.83 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 4:34 PM UTC.
$0.45 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 40.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | Yes | 170.23 | $0.041 | $6.55 | -$0.45 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.85 | $0.014 | $2 | 2m ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 15:33 UTC
Polymarket public position response
39 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 16:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 16:34 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 15:33 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $751.87 and losing ones cost $329.23 across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $102 on “Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?” (No); the largest loss, $119.13 on “Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 160 markets. Its open positions are worth $59.35 across 39 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 611.84 |
| $0.006 |
| $5.51 |
| +$1.47 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 161.01 | $0.042 | $5.07 | -$1.76 |
 Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 957.14 | $0.004 | $4.31 | +$0.37 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | Yes | 233.42 | $0.035 | $3.85 | -$4.36 |
 US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | Yes | 103.75 | $0.042 | $3.74 | -$0.65 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | No | 108.59 | $0.021 | $3.58 | +$1.3 |
 Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 109.98 | $0.025 | $3.24 | +$0.54 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.82K | $0.004 | $2.73 | -$3.81 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 142.85 | $0.014 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
 Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 304.74 | $0.006 | $2.13 | +$0.32 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 125.1 | $0.019 | $2.06 | -$0.32 |
 Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | $0 |
 Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | No | 50.04 | $0.005 | $1.85 | +$1.6 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 656.18 | $0.003 | $1.64 | -$0.33 |
 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026? | Yes | 222.23 | $0.009 | $1.56 | -$0.44 |
 Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 45.11 | $0.010 | $0.92 | +$0.47 |
 Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 23 | $0.044 | $0.85 | -$0.16 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 19.67 | $0.035 | $0.74 | +$0.04 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 97.76 | $0.007 | $0.64 | -$0.07 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro? | No | 19.04 | $0.021 | $0.61 | +$0.21 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026? | Yes | 92.59 | $0.003 | $0.56 | +$0.28 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 218.36 | $0.005 | $0.55 | -$0.48 |
 Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.52 | $0.038 | $0.37 | -$0.03 |
 Will Rodri finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 36.36 | $0.011 | $0.35 | -$0.05 |
| buy |
| 0.1 |
| $0.040 |
| $0 |
| 7m ago |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.56 | $0.026 | $0.14 | 14m ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | buy | 10.73 | $0.037 | $0.4 | 25m ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 24.32 | $0.009 | $0.22 | 33m ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | sell | 26.38 | $0.035 | $0.92 | 40m ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | sell | 11.77 | $0.035 | $0.41 | 40m ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | sell | 136.36 | $0.027 | $3.68 | 40m ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.28 | $0.015 | $0.62 | 50m ago |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 181.81 | $0.028 | $5.09 | 1h ago |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.048 | $0.48 | 1h ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | sell | 8.21 | $0.043 | $0.35 | 1h ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.022 | $3 | 1h ago |
| Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 15.1 | $0.010 | $0.15 | 1h ago |
| Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.015 | $0.3 | 1h ago |
| Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | 1h ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.37 | $0.004 | $0.07 | 1h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | buy | 7.76 | $0.016 | $0.12 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | buy | 24.31 | $0.008 | $0.19 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.009 | $0.11 | 1h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.009 | $0.34 | 1h ago |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?Yes | sell | 293.18 | $0.004 | $1.17 | 1h ago |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?Yes | sell | 79.69 | $0.004 | $0.32 | 1h ago |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Yes | sell | 50.53 | $0.002 | $0.1 | 2h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | 2h ago |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?Yes | sell | 228 | $0.005 | $1.14 | 2h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.015 | $0 | 2h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.1 | $0.012 | $0.49 | 3h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 51.15 | $0.042 | $2.15 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | sell | 423.2 | $0.008 | $3.39 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | sell | 42.58 | $0.007 | $0.3 | 3h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.003 | $0.28 | 3h ago |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.034 | $0.08 | 3h ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.004 | $0.14 | 3h ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes | sell | 395.36 | $0.012 | $4.74 | 3h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.015 | $0.04 | 3h ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 181.81 | $0.022 | $4 | 3h ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | buy | 8.21 | $0.042 | $0.34 | 4h ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | buy | 36.21 | $0.043 | $1.56 | 4h ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes | buy | 56.8 | $0.043 | $2.44 | 4h ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300.02 | $0.011 | $3.3 | 4h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 149.33 | $0.010 | $1.49 | 4h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | 4h ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 159.98 | $0.027 | $4.32 | 4h ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.012 | $0.12 | 4h ago |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.012 | $0.21 | 4h ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 59.97 | $0.025 | $1.5 | 5h ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | 5h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.019 | $0.03 | 5h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 125.11 | $0.020 | $2.5 | 5h ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.