Analytics
Yes is at 1.8%, down 16 points from 17.5% when the market opened on 8 Oct 2026.
Across the 14 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.5% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.1%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 1.1% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?”.
$21.23K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $485.42, with a 2.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 241 trades, $815.18 bought Yes and $6.31K bought No; the largest was a $2.35K buy of No at 90.3¢.
The largest Yes position is a.weidel with 783 shares; the largest No position is pkz with 2.6K. Ten wallets hold 83.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 8 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pkz | No | 2.6K |
| a.weidel | Yes | 783.05 |
| Stonktrader | No | 504.13 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/carles-puigdemont-back-in-spain-in-2026-20260625011546952
| Dr.PNL |
| Yes |
| 406.8 |
| ImOldBruceWayne | Yes | 400 |
| Perypery | Yes | 251.86 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 237.97 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 232.85 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 204 |
| Paxaman | Yes | 202.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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