Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.75K | $0.523 | $11.8K | +$5.13K |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 6K | $0.850 | $5.1K | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 13.04K |
| $0.729 |
| $11.41K |
| +$1.91K |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 8.94K | $0.724 | $8K | +$1.53K |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 8.43K | $0.763 | $5.94K | -$493.68 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 6K | $0.850 | $5.19K | +$90.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4.46K | $0.790 | $3.77K | +$245.19 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.65K | $0.475 | $2.79K | -$846.25 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 6.8K | $0.359 | $2.41K | -$29.05 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.32K | $0.597 | $2.09K | +$703.77 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.99K | $0.548 | $1.93K | -$251.91 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 2.32K | $0.613 | $1.92K | +$491.99 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 1.66K | $0.417 | $1.42K | +$724.95 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | No | 1.29K | $0.486 | $1.2K | +$578.3 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 1.12K | $0.860 | $991.2 | +$28 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.44K | $0.595 | $725.55 | -$129.98 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 884.83 | $0.411 | $715.39 | +$351.91 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.680 | $688.42 | +$5.02 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.06K | $0.070 | $571.84 | +$356.22 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 3.48K | $0.782 | $540.02 | -$2.18K |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.54K | $0.054 | $478.82 | +$69.26 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.07K | $0.064 | $399.43 | -$56.4 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.73K | $0.158 | $369.1 | -$64.23 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 372.46 | $0.530 | $353.84 | +$156.43 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.34K | $0.136 | $281.04 | -$37.02 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 1.11K | $0.121 | $210.43 | +$76.14 |
| sell |
| 1.21K |
| $0.420 |
| $509.04 |
| 8d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15.31K | $0.005 | $76.53 | 8d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 246.91 | $0.656 | $162.07 | 16d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 4.37K | $0.979 | $4.28K | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.091 | $59.15 | 16d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.658 | $355.16 | 18d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 269 | $0.330 | $88.77 | 19d ago |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 2.26K | $0.072 | $162.65 | 19d ago |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 3.7K | $0.930 | $3.44K | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 29.31K | $0.011 | $322.42 | 22d ago |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | 23d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 884.83 | $0.411 | $363.48 | 23d ago |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 825 | $0.100 | $82.49 | 23d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 2.5K | $0.520 | $1.3K | 24d ago |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.780 | $939.9 | 25d ago |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.053 | $83.48 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10.5K | $0.006 | $63.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?No | buy | 30 | $0.324 | $9.72 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 288.56 | $0.700 | $201.99 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.675 | $1.22K | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.025 | $75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?No | buy | 989.99 | $0.620 | $613.79 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.740 | $1.24K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 805 | $0.140 | $112.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.129 | $129 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.140 | $16.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.100 | $40 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 440 | $0.120 | $52.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.227 | $249.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.053 | $86.84 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?Yes | buy | 259 | $0.090 | $23.31 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain | buy | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?Yes | buy | 590 | $0.060 | $35.4 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.139 | $215.45 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.127 | $159.39 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 259 | $0.510 | $132.09 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 225 | $0.540 | $121.5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 225 | $0.610 | $137.25 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.160 | $415.53 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.630 | $771.75 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.800 | $3.2K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes | buy | 440 | $0.035 | $15.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.46K | $0.310 | $452.29 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico | buy | 225 | $0.190 | $42.75 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 3.38K | $0.820 | $2.77K | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 2.16K | $0.760 | $1.64K | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 1.68K | $0.710 | $1.19K | Jun 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 959 | $0.620 | $594.58 | Jun 28, 2026 |