Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 66.46 | $0.771 | $57.49 | +$6.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.35 | $0.310 | $6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 49.38 |
| $0.810 |
| $46.67 |
| +$6.67 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 19.35 | $0.310 | $3 | -$3 |
| buy |
| 23.46 |
| $0.810 |
| $19 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 49.38 | $0.810 | $40 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 18.33 | $0.600 | $11 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 20.64 | $0.969 | $20 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 15.85 | $0.660 | $10.46 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 8 | $0.513 | $4.1 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.85 | $0.820 | $13 | May 21, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 33.47 | $0.956 | $32 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.960 | $40 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 26.82 | $0.895 | $24 | May 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 68.42 | $0.950 | $65 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | buy | 43.18 | $0.880 | $38 | May 9, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?No | buy | 38.82 | $0.850 | $33 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.11 | $0.760 | $13 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)Topuria | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.67 | $0.750 | $11 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)Tsarukyan | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 161.03 | $0.180 | $28.99 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 54.38 | $0.950 | $51.66 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.930 | $51.66 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | buy | 40.57 | $0.986 | $40 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.17 | $0.920 | $25 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 58.79 | $0.890 | $52.32 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 58.43 | $0.428 | $25 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 55.87 | $0.895 | $50 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "India" or "Pakistan" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Yes | sell | 127.45 | $0.999 | $127.32 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "India" or "Pakistan" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Yes | buy | 127.46 | $0.830 | $105.79 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Yes | buy | 53.11 | $0.942 | $50.03 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $3200 July 28–August 3?No | buy | 52.69 | $0.949 | $50 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No | buy | 41.94 | $0.310 | $13 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $210 in July?No | buy | 36.1 | $0.788 | $28.43 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 28.43 | $0.523 | $14.86 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | sell | 626.69 | $0.690 | $432.42 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | buy | 710.87 | $0.703 | $500 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 834.69 | $0.533 | $444.94 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 947.01 | $0.528 | $500 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | buy | 739.13 | $0.160 | $118.26 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.891 | $1K | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.660 | $763.17 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 396.83 | $0.630 | $250 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.750 | $10.56 | Jul 10, 2025 |