Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.4M

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4% on 2 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 28.2% on 15 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 6.6% on 24 Jul 2025. $4.37M traded over the market's life.

410 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:51 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–40%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
cccv	Yes	70.76K
anllicopter	Yes	60K
Iversonc33	Yes	48.71K
Putrid-Equality	Yes	34.89K

10 of 410 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between July 1, 2025, 00:00 and July 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $130,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.