Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.984 | $5.54 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.900 |
| $3 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 9.77 | $0.940 | $9.18 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.900 | $2.04 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.790 | $1.6 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will BNB reach $1000 in January?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.070 | $0.17 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.900 | $1.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will BNB reach $1000 in January?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will BNB reach $1100 in January?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.887 | $1.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Brevis FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.979 | $1.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Brevis FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.904 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.966 | $8 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.920 | $1.76 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.887 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.32 | $0.930 | $3.09 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.72 | $0.940 | $3.5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.750 | $1.34 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.18 | $0.917 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.72 | $0.920 | $2.5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.855 | $1.28 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.893 | $1.5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.833 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.720 | $1.36 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Farmer" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.26 | $0.170 | $0.55 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.880 | $1.9 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.690 | $1.2 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.670 | $1.8 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.850 | $1.5 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |