Analytics
Yes is at 38%, down 14 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 33.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?”.
$134 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.83K since listing. The order book holds $1.03K, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 31 trades, $340.1 bought Yes and $438.95 bought No.
The largest Yes position is WarriorPooh with 462 shares; the largest No position is BlondBeast with 250. Ten wallets hold 92.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 5:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 38.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WarriorPooh | Yes | 462.37 |
| Olcan | Yes | 439.48 |
| BlondBeast | No | 250 |
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-october-press-conference
8 more markets, none above 34.5%.
| clazzy1 |
| No |
| 250 |
| smellyEllie | No | 225.32 |
| Partial-Adrenalin | Yes | 157.15 |
| Cattail | No | 147 |
| badatthis | No | 144.85 |
| Faston | Yes | 50 |
| 0x49F206 | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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