Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during October Press Conference?

politicsActive

Closes Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Yes

73.5%

26.5%

Yes costs 73.5¢No costs 26.5¢

24h Volume

$50

Total volume

$50

Liquidity

$423

Closes

Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Topic roomFed and FOMC

Where it stands

Yes is at 73.5%, up 48 points from 26% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.

Across the 7 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 74.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 74%. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 74.5% on 16 Oct 2026.

It is one of 20 markets under “What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?”.

$50 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $423.09, with a 29.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.

The largest Yes position is Quarrelsome-Branch with 50 shares; the largest No position is UpTheStairs with 50.

Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.

Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 12:52 AM UTC

Trade

Trade Yes73.5¢

Pays $1 a share if Yes wins$50 24h vol

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026

Same event

What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Quarrelsome-Branch	Yes	50
UpTheStairs	No	50

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

What settles this market

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf