Analytics
Yes is at 45.5%, down 27 points from 73% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 44% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 44%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 44% on 16 Oct 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?”.
$261 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $755.9 since listing. The order book holds $342.65, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is BlondBeast with 99 shares; the largest No position is Partial-Adrenalin with 158.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 10:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 73.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Partial-Adrenalin | No | 158 |
| BlondBeast | Yes | 98.84 |
| frplayers | Yes | 50 |
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-october-press-conference
8 more markets, none above 28.0%.
| mannyp |
| Yes |
| 13.32 |
| Indigo Lynx AC80 | No | 4.45 |
| daniel122134 | Yes | 0.22 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 0.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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